Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006883 0.007704 0.008598 0.009649 0.010852 0.012189 0.013795
2025-03-16 0.005348 0.006409 0.007661 0.009260 0.011260 0.013698 0.016924
2025-03-23 0.004619 0.005790 0.007247 0.009214 0.011829 0.015232 0.020062
2025-03-30 0.004281 0.005570 0.007247 0.009622 0.012953 0.017538 0.024472
2025-04-06 0.003778 0.005060 0.006787 0.009326 0.013041 0.018396 0.026926
2025-04-13 0.003386 0.004650 0.006406 0.009074 0.013127 0.019217 0.029387
2025-04-20 0.003129 0.004399 0.006212 0.009057 0.013535 0.020538 0.032788
2025-04-27 0.002994 0.004307 0.006234 0.009354 0.014445 0.022734 0.037940
2025-05-04 0.002793 0.004096 0.006055 0.009312 0.014794 0.024041 0.041732
2025-05-11 0.002638 0.003942 0.005945 0.009364 0.015295 0.025652 0.046309
2025-05-18 0.002467 0.003747 0.005754 0.009257 0.015501 0.026754 0.050070
2025-05-25 0.002364 0.003650 0.005710 0.009393 0.016147 0.028726 0.055872
2025-06-01 0.002221 0.003486 0.005551 0.009328 0.016448 0.030147 0.060922
2025-06-08 0.002036 0.003237 0.005232 0.008954 0.016134 0.030337 0.063378
2025-06-15 0.001925 0.003106 0.005103 0.008909 0.016446 0.031825 0.069038
2025-06-22 0.001893 0.003108 0.005205 0.009303 0.017669 0.035386 0.080341
2025-06-29 0.001762 0.002926 0.004965 0.009018 0.017470 0.035833 0.084009
2025-07-06 0.001648 0.002768 0.004756 0.008775 0.017331 0.036395 0.088089
2025-07-13 0.001575 0.002677 0.004665 0.008759 0.017676 0.038114 0.095653
2025-07-20 0.001546 0.002666 0.004721 0.009045 0.018719 0.041647 0.109144
2025-07-27 0.001479 0.002578 0.004624 0.009004 0.019016 0.043393 0.117819
2025-08-03 0.001427 0.002516 0.004573 0.009054 0.019530 0.045767 0.129018
2025-08-10 0.001362 0.002424 0.004457 0.008951 0.019664 0.047163 0.137430